Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.730713 3.978574 4.245509 4.556348 4.910971 5.306170 5.784556
2025-02-16 3.284990 3.602935 3.964007 4.410624 4.957443 5.618359 6.499937
2025-02-23 2.952253 3.307185 3.727082 4.272396 4.981473 5.904106 7.258241
2025-03-02 2.648436 3.012022 3.455136 4.052133 4.866099 5.992251 7.793003
2025-03-09 2.447078 2.822063 3.291949 3.947821 4.885512 6.269453 8.708262
2025-03-16 2.249824 2.620290 3.093846 3.772251 4.777753 6.340065 9.331774
2025-03-23 2.139263 2.520544 3.019581 3.757452 4.901731 6.804141 10.905376
2025-03-30 2.030735 2.414909 2.927417 3.705275 4.959143 7.174485 12.542627
2025-04-06 1.924297 2.304655 2.819634 3.617548 4.944792 7.413984 14.082570
2025-04-13 1.816253 2.185746 2.691080 3.485300 4.836014 7.445455 15.122332
2025-04-20 1.767794 2.145557 2.671530 3.519761 5.022745 8.145799 19.186951
2025-04-27 1.726594 2.112608 2.659426 3.563918 5.234849 8.990597 25.764742
2025-05-04 1.678334 2.072236 2.641191 3.610216 5.491812 10.168551 40.781791
2025-05-11 1.626644 2.024285 2.608537 3.630066 5.707872 11.423215 77.131837
2025-05-18 1.571998 1.969104 2.560972 3.619250 5.861877 12.656693 226.156196
2025-05-25 1.502394 1.888387 2.468052 3.517019 5.790508 13.078114 1273.217761
2025-06-01 1.452148 1.834137 2.413999 3.481629 5.873596 14.244966 NaN
2025-06-08 1.391394 1.761359 2.325782 3.373446 5.758172 14.481465 NaN
2025-06-15 1.358410 1.729065 2.301506 3.385619 5.954352 16.542140 NaN
2025-06-22 1.320920 1.688096 2.260287 3.360270 6.047932 18.287182 NaN
2025-06-29 1.279779 1.639773 2.204067 3.299596 6.032114 19.398925 NaN
2025-07-06 1.233836 1.582373 2.129852 3.196504 5.876995 19.348948 NaN
2025-07-13 1.214731 1.565883 2.123920 3.232922 6.141749 23.419262 NaN